Bust Alert: Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt essentially won me my fantasy league last year. Both he and Ingram were unstoppable. So, why would I be writing about him being a bust? Truthfully, of everyone I have written about, this is the one I feel the least confident about. However, I do want to point out a few issues with Hunt, that are alarming a little troublesome, to say the least.
First, let's start with longevity. As the season progressed, we saw production dwindle for Hunt. In week twelve he averaged 1.5 yards per carry. Now, this is counteracted by his 10.1 yards per carry in week three, and some other great performances, but that decline is a little worrisome. He is 5 foot 11, 201 pounds, so the guy really cannot take the amount of abuse a player like Fournette or Elliot can. He's still young, but one wrong tackle and things can go south fast without the bulk to help absorb it.
Let's also talk about the fact that Hunt did struggle when his team lost, and I do expect the Chiefs to take a few steps back this year with Mahones throwing the ball, and Sammy Watkins is their number one receiver (with Tyreek Hill or something). Take a look at his game to game stats at NFL.com. It is alarming to see because now there are significant changes to the offense without Alex Smith having a career year under center. 
All of this is my way of saying 8th overall seems steep for Hunt. Beckham is going 14th, and that is complete insanity. I'm sure Hunt will have another solid year barring injury, but better than Gordon? Fournette? Beckham? Michael Thomas? I just can't buy that.
Owning Hunt at the start of the year last year was magical. He was putting up about 30 points a game. People want to ride that lightning, but don't fall for it. Second round I can see the argument, but before these other guys, I just cannot justify it.
What Should I do Instead?
The next six guys after him are the following: Fournette, Gordon, Hopkins, Jones, Cook, Beckham. I would take ANY of these players over Hunt. 

Deep Sleeper: Player Profile Auden Tate

I know yesterday I wrote about the Bengals, but let's stick with another Bengals wide receiver, Auden Tate. What I always heard about Tate was that he was slow, and his transition into the NFL wouldn't be a good one from FSU because of his mediocre speed. The guy ran a 4.68 40 at the combine. This was exactly Gronkowski's speed when he did the combine, and if you watch Gronk, he isn't good because he's fast, he's good because he is a monster of a human being. Ben Roethlisberger ran a 4.75 40. What I am getting at, is these times are gross. I should also mention that his high jump was 31 inches (average is 35 inches for the position) and his broad jump was 112 inches (par for the position is about 120). In regards to his measurable athletic ability, this guy isn't there. 
Something very few people are talking about is the size of this guy. He is beating cornerbacks because he is 6 foot 5, 227 pounds. These measurables are close to Calvin Johnson, who was 6 foot 5, 239 pounds (Megatron ran a 4.35 40). I am NOT saying he is going to be Calvin Johnson who was easily a generational talent. I am saying with his size, and the average corner being 6 foot,  (and with 6 foot 3 being a HUGE cornerback that was drafted this year), and with an offense that seems to love big receivers (see AJ Green), and a pretty good team around him, he could be successful. 
Also, as with everyone else I have written about this week, he is free. Not even being drafted. I picked him up on waivers in my dynasty league a few weeks ago.  Put the guy on your watch list.
Check out this game-winning touchdown (it's preseason, but whatever). 

Out of the two Bengals WRs I would still take Boyd, just because he has been in the NFL for 2 full years. But, don't sleep on this guy. 

 

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