Kareem Hunt essentially won me my fantasy league last year. Both he and Ingram were unstoppable. So, why would I be writing about him being a bust? Truthfully, of everyone I have written about, this is the one I feel the least confident about. However, I do want to point out a few issues with Hunt, that are alarming a little troublesome, to say the least.
First, let's start with longevity. As the season progressed, we saw production dwindle for Hunt. In week twelve he averaged 1.5 yards per carry. Now, this is counteracted by his 10.1 yards per carry in week three, and some other great performances, but that decline is a little worrisome. He is 5 foot 11, 201 pounds, so the guy really cannot take the amount of abuse a player like Fournette or Elliot can. He's still young, but one wrong tackle and things can go south fast without the bulk to help absorb it.
Let's also talk about the fact that Hunt did struggle when his team lost, and I do expect the Chiefs to take a few steps back this year with Mahones throwing the ball, and Sammy Watkins is their number one receiver (with Tyreek Hill or something). Take a look at his game to game stats at NFL.com. It is alarming to see because now there are significant changes to the offense without Alex Smith having a career year under center.
All of this is my way of saying 8th overall seems steep for Hunt. Beckham is going 14th, and that is complete insanity. I'm sure Hunt will have another solid year barring injury, but better than Gordon? Fournette? Beckham? Michael Thomas? I just can't buy that.
Owning Hunt at the start of the year last year was magical. He was putting up about 30 points a game. People want to ride that lightning, but don't fall for it. Second round I can see the argument, but before these other guys, I just cannot justify it.
What Should I do Instead?
The next six guys after him are the following: Fournette, Gordon, Hopkins, Jones, Cook, Beckham. I would take ANY of these players over Hunt.